Opinion polling for the 2019 Australian federal election
Australian opinion polling
![]() 2019 Australian federal election |
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National results |
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State and territory results |
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In the leadup to the 2019 federal election, a number of polling companies conducted regular opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collected data on party's primary vote, and contained an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote. They also asked questions about views of the electorate about the major party leaders.
Graphical summary
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/9/94/Australian_federal_election_polling_-_46th_parliament_-_two_party_preferred.svg/310px-Australian_federal_election_polling_-_46th_parliament_-_two_party_preferred.svg.png)
Two-party-preferred vote.
![](http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/3/3e/Australian_federal_election_polling_-_46th_parliament_-_primary.svg/310px-Australian_federal_election_polling_-_46th_parliament_-_primary.svg.png)
Primary vote.
Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last election. Local regression trends for each party are shown as solid lines.
Voting intention
Date | Firm | Primary vote | TPP vote | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
L/NP | ALP | GRN | ONP | OTH | L/NP | ALP | ||
18 May 2019 election | 41.44% | 33.34% | 10.4% | 3.08% | 11.74% | 51.53% | 48.47% | |
18 May 2019 | YouGov-Galaxy (Exit Poll)[1] | 39% | 38% | 10% | n/a | 10% | 48% | 52% |
15–16 May 2019 | Newspoll[2] | 38% | 37% | 9% | 3% | 13%[a] | 48.5% | 51.5% |
13–15 May 2019 | YouGov-Galaxy[3] | 39% | 37% | 9% | 3% | 12%[b] | 49% | 51% |
12–15 May 2019 | Ipsos[4] | 39% | 33% | 13% | 4% | 11%[c] | 49% | 51% |
10–14 May 2019 | Essential[5] | 38.5% | 36.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 48.5% | 51.5% |
10–12 May 2019 | Roy Morgan[6] | 38.5% | 35.5% | 10% | 4% | 12%[d] | 48% | 52% |
9–11 May 2019 | Newspoll[7] | 39% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 11%[e] | 49% | 51% |
8 May 2019 | Third leaders' debate | |||||||
2–6 May 2019 | Essential[8] | 38% | 34% | 12% | 7% | 9% | 48% | 52% |
4–5 May 2019 | Roy Morgan[9] | 38.5% | 34% | 11% | 4% | 12.5%[f] | 49% | 51% |
2–5 May 2019 | Newspoll[10] | 38% | 36% | 9% | 5% | 12%[g] | 49% | 51% |
1–4 May 2019 | Ipsos[11] | 36% | 33% | 14% | 5% | 12%[h] | 48% | 52% |
3 May 2019 | Second leaders' debate | |||||||
29 Apr 2019 | First leaders' debate | |||||||
25–29 Apr 2019 | Essential[12] | 39% | 37% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 49% | 51% |
27–28 Apr 2019 | Roy Morgan[13] | 39.5% | 36% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 12.5%[i] | 49% | 51% |
26–28 Apr 2019 | Newspoll[14] | 38% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 12%[j] | 49% | 51% |
23–25 Apr 2019 | Galaxy[15] | 37% | 37% | 9% | 4% | 13%[k] | 48% | 52% |
20–21 Apr 2019 | Roy Morgan[16] | 39% | 35.5% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 11.5%[l] | 49% | 51% |
11–14 Apr 2019 | Newspoll[17] | 39% | 39% | 9% | 4% | 9% | 48% | 52% |
11 Apr 2019 | 2019 federal election campaign begins | |||||||
4–8 Apr 2019 | Essential[18] | 38% | 35% | 11% | 5% | 10% | 48% | 52% |
6–7 Apr 2019 | Roy Morgan[19] | 37% | 35% | 13.5% | 4% | 10.5%[m] | 47.5% | 52.5% |
4–7 Apr 2019 | Newspoll[20] | 38% | 37% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 48% | 52% |
3–6 Apr 2019 | Ipsos[21] | 37% | 34% | 13% | 5% | 11% | 47% | 53% |
25–28 Mar 2019 | Galaxy[22] | 35% | 37% | 10% | 8% | 10%[n] | 47% | 53% |
20–25 Mar 2019 | Essential[23] | 39% | 36% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 48% | 52% |
6–11 Mar 2019 | Essential[24] | 37% | 38% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 47% | 53% |
7–10 Mar 2019 | Newspoll[25] | 36% | 39% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
20–25 Feb 2019 | Essential[26] | 38% | 37% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 48% | 52% |
21–24 Feb 2019 | Newspoll[27] | 37% | 39% | 9% | 5% | 10% | 47% | 53% |
12–15 Feb 2019 | Ipsos[28] | 38% | 33% | 13% | 5% | 11% | 49% | 51% |
6–11 Feb 2019 | Essential[29] | 34% | 38% | 10% | 7% | 11% | 45% | 55% |
7–10 Feb 2019 | Newspoll[30] | 37% | 39% | 9% | 5% | 10% | 47% | 53% |
23–31 Jan 2019 | Essential[31] | 38% | 36% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 48% | 52% |
24–27 Jan 2019 | Newspoll[32] | 37% | 38% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 47% | 53% |
9–13 Jan 2019 | Essential[33] | 38% | 38% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 47% | 53% |
13–16 Dec 2018 | Essential[34] | 37% | 36% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
12–15 Dec 2018 | Ipsos[35] | 36% | 37% | 13% | 6% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
6–9 Dec 2018 | Newspoll[32] | 35% | 41% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 45% | 55% |
29 Nov – 2 Dec 2018 | Essential[36] | 38% | 39% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 46% | 54% |
22–25 Nov 2018 | Newspoll[37] | 34% | 40% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 45% | 55% |
15–18 Nov 2018 | Essential[38] | 37% | 35% | 11% | 7% | 10% | 48% | 52% |
15–17 Nov 2018 | Ipsos[39] | 37% | 34% | 13% | 5% | 11% | 48% | 52% |
8–11 Nov 2018 | Newspoll[40] | 35% | 40% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 45% | 55% |
1–4 Nov 2018 | Essential[41] | 36% | 39% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
25–28 Oct 2018 | Newspoll[42] | 36% | 39% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 46% | 54% |
18–21 Oct 2018 | Essential[43] | 38% | 37% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 47% | 53% |
11–13 Oct 2018 | Newspoll[44] | 37% | 38% | 11% | 6% | 8% | 47% | 53% |
10–13 Oct 2018 | Ipsos[45] | 35% | 35% | 15% | 5% | 10% | 45% | 55% |
5–7 Oct 2018 | Essential[46] | 37% | 36% | 12% | 5% | 10% | 47% | 53% |
20–23 Sep 2018 | Essential[47] | 37% | 36% | 12% | 5% | 10% | 47% | 53% |
20–23 Sep 2018 | Newspoll[48] | 36% | 39% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
12–15 Sep 2018 | Ipsos[49] | 34% | 31% | 15% | 7% | 13% | 47% | 53% |
6–9 Sep 2018 | Essential[50] | 36% | 37% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
6–9 Sep 2018 | Newspoll[51] | 34% | 42% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 44% | 56% |
25–26 Aug 2018 | Roy Morgan[52] | 36.5% | 36% | 13% | 2.5% | 12% | 46% | 54% |
24–26 Aug 2018 | Essential[53] | 35% | 39% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 45% | 55% |
24–25 Aug 2018 | Newspoll[54] | 33% | 41% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 44% | 56% |
24 Aug 2018 | Scott Morrison elected Prime Minister in leadership spill against Malcolm Turnbull | |||||||
15–18 Aug 2018 | Ipsos[55] | 33% | 35% | 13% | 8% | 11% | 45% | 55% |
9-12 Aug 2018 | Newspoll[56] | 37% | 35% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 49% | 51% |
2-2 Aug 2018 | ReachTEL[57] | 37% | 34% | 12% | 8% | 8% | 48% | 52% |
26-29 Jul 2018 | Newspoll[58] | 39% | 36% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 49% | 51% |
12-15 Jul 2018 | Essential[59] | 40% | 36% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 49% | 51% |
12-15 Jul 2018 | Newspoll[60] | 38% | 36% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 49% | 51% |
28 Jun - 1 Jul 2018 | Essential[61] | 40% | 37% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 48% | 52% |
28 Jun - 1 Jul 2018 | Newspoll[62] | 39% | 37% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 49% | 51% |
21–24 Jun 2018 | Ipsos[63] | 35% | 35% | 12% | 6% | 12% | 47% | 53% |
14–17 Jun 2018 | Newspoll[64] | 38% | 38% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 48% | 52% |
14–17 Jun 2018 | Essential[65] | 38% | 35% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 48% | 52% |
2 Jun 2018 | ReachTEL[66] | 35% | 34% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 48% | 52% |
31 May – 3 Jun 2018 | Essential[67] | 36% | 37% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
24–27 May 2018 | Newspoll[68] | 38% | 38% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 48% | 52% |
17–20 May 2018 | Essential[69] | 40% | 36% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 49% | 51% |
10–13 May 2018 | Essential[70] | 38% | 36% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 48% | 52% |
10–13 May 2018 | Newspoll[71] | 39% | 38% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 49% | 51% |
10–12 May 2018 | Ipsos[72] | 36% | 37% | 11% | 5% | 11% | 46% | 54% |
3–6 May 2018 | Essential[73] | 38% | 37% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
30 Apr 2018 | ReachTEL[74] | 36% | 35% | 11% | 6% | 12% | 48% | 52% |
19–22 Apr 2018 | Essential[75] | 37% | 36% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 47% | 53% |
19-22 Apr 2018 | Newspoll[76] | 38% | 37% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 49% | 51% |
5–8 Apr 2018 | Essential[77] | 38% | 37% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 47% | 53% |
5–8 Apr 2018 | Newspoll[78] | 38% | 37% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 48% | 52% |
3–5 Apr 2018 | Ipsos[79][80] | 36% | 34% | 12% | 8% | 10% | 48% | 52% |
24 Mar – 1 Apr 2018 | Roy Morgan[81] | 38.5% | 37.5% | 11% | 3% | 10% | 49% | 51% |
28 Mar 2018 | ReachTEL[82] | 34% | 36% | 10% | 7% | 13% | 46% | 54% |
22–25 Mar 2018 | Essential[83] | 38% | 36% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 48% | 52% |
22–25 Mar 2018 | Newspoll[84] | 37% | 39% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 47% | 53% |
17–25 Mar 2018 | Roy Morgan[85] | 40% | 35% | 12% | 3.5% | 9.5% | 49% | 51% |
8–11 Mar 2018 | Essential[86] | 36% | 38% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
3–11 Mar 2018 | Roy Morgan[87] | 36% | 36% | 13.5% | 3% | 11.5% | 46% | 54% |
1–4 Mar 2018 | Newspoll[88] | 37% | 38% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
22–25 Feb 2018 | Essential[89] | 35% | 35% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 47% | 53% |
24 Feb 2018 | ReachTEL[90] | 33% | 37% | 11% | 7% | 12% | 46% | 54% |
15–18 Feb 2018 | Newspoll[91] | 36% | 37% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
8–11 Feb 2018 | Essential[92] | 36% | 37% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 46% | 54% |
1–3 Feb 2018 | Newspoll[93] | 38% | 37% | 10% | 5% | 10% | 48% | 52% |
26–28 Jan 2018 | Essential[94] | 35% | 36% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 46% | 54% |
25 Jan 2018 | ReachTEL[95] | 34% | 36% | 10% | 8% | 12% | 48% | 52% |
11–15 Jan 2018 | Essential[96] | 37% | 38% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 47% | 53% |
19 Dec 2017 | Essential[97] | 37% | 38% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
14–17 Dec 2017 | Newspoll[98] | 36% | 37% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 47% | 53% |
12 Dec 2017 | Essential[99] | 35% | 38% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
7–10 Dec 2017 | YouGov[100] | 34% | 35% | 11% | 8% | 13% | 50% | 50% |
5 Dec 2017 | Essential[101] | 35% | 38% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 45% | 55% |
30 Nov − 3 Dec 2017 | Newspoll[102] | 36% | 37% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
29 Nov 2017 | ReachTEL[103] | 33% | 36% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 47% | 53% |
28 Nov 2017 | Essential[104] | 36% | 38% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
23–27 Nov 2017 | YouGov[105] | 32% | 32% | 10% | 11% | 16% | 47% | 53% |
21 Nov 2017 | Essential[106] | 35% | 38% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 46% | 54% |
14 Nov 2017 | YouGov[107] | 31% | 34% | 11% | 11% | 14% | 48% | 52% |
14 Nov 2017 | Essential[108] | 36% | 38% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 46% | 54% |
13 Nov 2017 | Newspoll[109] | 34% | 38% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 45% | 55% |
30 Oct 2017 | Essential[110] | 36% | 37% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
26–29 Oct 2017 | Newspoll | 35% | 37% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
24 Oct 2017 | Essential[111] | 37% | 36% | 9% | 8% | 10% | 48% | 52% |
12–15 Oct 2017 | Newspoll | 36% | 37% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 46% | 54% |
4 Oct 2017 | Essential[112] | 36% | 38% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 46% | 54% |
1 Oct 2017 | ReachTEL[113] | 36% | 38% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
26 Sep 2017 | Essential[114] | 37% | 37% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
21–24 Sep 2017 | Newspoll[115] | 36% | 38% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
19 Sep 2017 | Essential[116] | 38% | 36% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 48% | 52% |
14–18 Sep 2017 | YouGov[117] | 34% | 35% | 11% | 9% | 11% | 50% | 50% |
12 Sep 2017 | Essential[118] | 36% | 37% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 46% | 54% |
6–9 Sep 2017 | Ipsos[119][120] | 35% | 34% | 14% | 1% | 15% | 47% | 53% |
5 Sep 2017 | Essential[118] | 36% | 37% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
31 Aug – 4 Sep 2017 | YouGov[121] | 34% | 32% | 12% | 9% | 13% | 50% | 50% |
28 Aug – 2 Sep 2017 | Newspoll[122] | 37% | 38% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 47% | 53% |
29 Aug 2017 | Essential[123] | 37% | 36% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
23 Aug 2017 | ReachTEL[124] | 34.5% | 36.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 48% | 52% |
22 Aug 2017 | Essential[125] | 37% | 37% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
17–21 Aug 2017 | YouGov[126] | 34% | 33% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 51% | 49% |
17–20 Aug 2017 | Newspoll[127] | 35% | 38% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
15 Aug 2017 | Essential[128] | 37% | 39% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 46% | 54% |
8 Aug 2017 | Essential[129] | 37% | 39% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 46% | 54% |
3–6 Aug 2017 | Newspoll[130] | 36% | 36% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
1 Aug 2017 | Essential[131] | 38% | 36% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 48% | 52% |
25 Jul 2017 | Essential[132] | 38% | 37% | 10% | 7% | 8% | 47% | 53% |
20–24 Jul 2017 | YouGov[133] | 36% | 33% | 10% | 8% | 13% | 50% | 50% |
20–23 Jul 2017 | Newspoll[134] | 36% | 37% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
19 Jul 2017 | ReachTEL[135] | 37.2% | 35.1% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 49% | 51% |
18 Jul 2017 | Essential[136] | 36% | 38% | 10% | 7% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
6–11 Jul 2017 | YouGov[137] | 36% | 33% | 12% | 7% | 12% | 52% | 48% |
6–9 Jul 2017 | Newspoll[138] | 35% | 36% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 47% | 53% |
29 June 2017 | ReachTEL[139] | 36.4% | 35.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 48% | 52% |
22–27 Jun 2017 | YouGov[140] | 33% | 34% | 12% | 7% | 14% | 49% | 51% |
15–18 Jun 2017 | Newspoll[141] | 36% | 37% | 9% | 11% | 7% | 47% | 53% |
14 June 2017 | Essential[142] | 38% | 36% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 48% | 52% |
26–29 May 2017 | Newspoll[143] | 36% | 36% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
23 May 2017 | Essential[144] | 37% | 38% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 46% | 54% |
12–15 May 2017 | Newspoll[145] | 36% | 36% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
11 May 2017 | ReachTEL[146] | 38% | 34.1% | 10.9% | 11% | 6% | 47% | 53% |
10–11 May 2017 | Ipsos[147] | 37% | 35% | 13% | 2% | 13% | 47% | 53% |
26–30 Apr 2017 | Essential[148] | 38% | 37% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
20–23 Apr 2017 | Newspoll[149] | 36% | 35% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 48% | 52% |
13–16 Apr 2017 | Essential[150] | 36% | 37% | 10% | 8% | 10% | 46% | 54% |
6–9 Apr 2017 | Essential[151] | 37% | 36% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
1–4 Apr 2017 | Essential[152] | 37% | 36% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
30 Mar – 2 Apr 2017 | Newspoll[153] | 36% | 36% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 47% | 53% |
24–27 Mar 2017 | Essential[154] | 35% | 37% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 46% | 54% |
22–25 Mar 2017 | Ipsos[155][156] | 33% | 34% | 16% | 2% | 15% | 45% | 55% |
17–20 Mar 2017 | Essential[157] | 34% | 37% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 45% | 55% |
16–19 Mar 2017 | Newspoll[158] | 37% | 35% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 48% | 52% |
10–13 Mar 2017 | Essential[159] | 35% | 36% | 9% | 11% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
3–6 Mar 2017 | Essential[160] | 37% | 37% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 47% | 53% |
23–26 Feb 2017 | Newspoll[161] | 34% | 37% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 45% | 55% |
16–19 Feb 2017 | Essential[162] | 36% | 34% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 48% | 52% |
9–12 Feb 2017 | Essential[163] | 36% | 35% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 48% | 52% |
2–5 Feb 2017 | Newspoll[164] | 35% | 36% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 46% | 54% |
20–23 Jan 2017 | Essential[165] | 35% | 37% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 46% | 54% |
13–16 Jan 2017 | Essential[166] | 38% | 37% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 47% | 53% |
12 Jan 2017 | ReachTEL[167] | 37.1% | 35.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 46% | 54% |
9–12 Dec 2016 | Essential[168] | 37% | 37% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
1–4 Dec 2016 | Newspoll[169] | 39% | 36% | 10% | 5% | 10% | 48% | 52% |
25–28 Nov 2016 | Essential[170] | 39% | 36% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 49% | 51% |
24–26 Nov 2016 | Ipsos[171] | 36% | 30% | 16% | 7% | 9% | 49% | 51% |
17–20 Nov 2016 | Newspoll[172] | 38% | 38% | 10% | 4% | 10% | 47% | 53% |
11–14 Nov 2016 | Essential[173] | 37% | 37% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
3–6 Nov 2016 | Newspoll[174] | 39% | 38% | 10% | – | 13% | 47% | 53% |
20–23 Oct 2016 | Newspoll[175] | 39% | 37% | 10% | 5% | 9% | 48% | 52% |
14–17 Oct 2016 | Essential[176] | 37% | 37% | 11% | 5% | 9% | 47% | 53% |
7–10 Oct 2016 | Essential[177] | 38% | 36% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 48% | 52% |
6–9 Oct 2016 | Newspoll[178] | 39% | 36% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 48% | 52% |
22–25 Sep 2016 | Newspoll[179] | 38% | 37% | 10% | – | 15% | 48% | 52% |
9–12 Sep 2016 | Essential[180] | 38% | 37% | 10% | 5% | 11% | 48% | 52% |
8–11 Sep 2016 | Newspoll[181] | 41% | 36% | 9% | – | 14% | 50% | 50% |
26–29 Aug 2016 | Essential[182] | 40% | 37% | 10% | – | 13% | 49% | 51% |
25–28 Aug 2016 | Newspoll[183] | 41% | 36% | 9% | – | 14% | 50% | 50% |
19–22 Aug 2016 | Essential[184] | 39% | 36% | 10% | – | 15% | 49% | 51% |
12–15 Aug 2016 | Essential[185] | 39% | 37% | 10% | – | 14% | 48% | 52% |
5–8 Aug 2016 | Essential[186] | 40% | 37% | 10% | – | 13% | 48% | 52% |
27 Jul – 1 Aug 2016 | Essential[187] | 39% | 37% | 10% | – | 14% | 48% | 52% |
20–24 Jul 2016 | Essential[188] | 39% | 37% | 10% | – | 14% | 48% | 52% |
13–17 Jul 2016 | Essential[189] | 39% | 36% | 10% | – | 15% | 49% | 51% |
6–10 Jul 2016 | Essential[190] | 41% | 36% | 10% | – | 13% | 49% | 51% |
30 Jun – 3 Jul 2016 | Essential[191] | 41% | 37% | 10% | – | 12% | 50% | 50% |
2 July 2016 election | 42.0% | 34.7% | 10.2% | 1.3% | 11.8% | 50.4% | 49.6% | |
28 Jun – 1 Jul 2016 | Newspoll[192] | 42% | 35% | 10% | – | 13% | 50.5% | 49.5% |
30 Jun 2016 | ReachTEL[193] | 42.8% | 34.6% | 10.7% | – | 12% | 51% | 49% |
27–30 Jun 2016 | Essential[194] | 42.5% | 34.5% | 11.5% | – | 12% | 50.5% | 49.5% |
28–29 Jun 2016 | Galaxy[195] | 43% | 36% | 10% | – | 11% | 51% | 49% |
26–29 Jun 2016 | Ipsos[196] | 40% | 33% | 13% | – | 14% | 50% | 50% |
- ^ 5% UAP, 8% Independents/Other
- ^ 3% UAP, 9% Independents/Other
- ^ 3% UAP, 8% Independents/Other
- ^ 3.5% UAP, 8.5% Independents/Other
- ^ 4% UAP, 7% Other
- ^ 3.5% UAP, 9% Other
- ^ 4% UAP, 8% Other
- ^ 3% UAP, 7% Other
- ^ 2.0% UAP, 10.5% Other
- ^ 5% UAP, 7% Other
- ^ 4% UAP, 9% Other
- ^ 2.0% UAP, 9.5% Other
- ^ 1.5% UAP, 1% CON, 0.5% KAP, 7.5%, Other
- ^ 3% UAP, 2% CON, 3% Other
Preferred prime minister, and satisfaction
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Graph of opinion polls conducted
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Graph of opinion polls conducted
Date | Firm | Preferred prime minister | Morrison | Shorten | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Morrison | Shorten | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | ||||||
15–16 May 2019 | Newspoll[2] | 45% | 38% | 46% | 45% | 41% | 49% | ||||
12–15 May 2019 | Ipsos[4] | 47% | 40% | 48% | 43% | 43% | 48% | ||||
1–4 Apr 2019 | Ipsos[11] | 46% | 35% | 47% | 44% | 40% | 51% | ||||
3–6 Apr 2019 | Ipsos[197] | 46% | 35% | 48% | 39% | 36% | 51% | ||||
17 Feb 2019 | Ipsos[28] | 48% | 38% | 49% | 40% | 40% | 52% | ||||
7–10 Feb 2019 | Newspoll[30] | 44% | 35% | 43% | 45% | 36% | 51% | ||||
13–15 Dec 2018 | Ipsos[35] | 46% | 37% | 47% | 39% | 41% | 50% | ||||
8–11 Nov 2018 | Newspoll[40] | 42% | 36% | 39% | 47% | 35% | 50% | ||||
25–28 Oct 2018 | Newspoll[42] | 43% | 35% | 41% | 44% | 37% | 50% | ||||
19–21 Oct 2018 | Essential[43] | 42% | 27% | 43% | 28% | 33% | 28% | ||||
22–24 Sep 2018 | Essential[47] | 39% | 27% | 37% | 31% | 35% | 31% | ||||
20–23 Sep 2018 | Newspoll[48] | 45% | 32% | 44% | 39% | 32% | 54% | ||||
8–10 Sep 2018 | Essential[50] | 39% | 27% | 37% | 31% | 35% | 43% | ||||
6–9 Sep 2018 | Newspoll[51] | 42% | 36% | 41% | 39% | 37% | 51% | ||||
24–25 Aug 2018 | Newspoll[54] | 33% | 39% | – | – | – | – | ||||
24 Aug 2018 | Scott Morrison replaces Malcolm Turnbull as Liberal leader | ||||||||||
Turnbull | Shorten | Turnbull | Shorten | ||||||||
9–12 Aug 2018 | Newspoll[56] | 44% | 32% | 36% | 55% | 32% | 56% | ||||
26–29 Jul 2018 | Newspoll[58] | 48% | 29% | 42% | 48% | 32% | 57% | ||||
18–21 Jul 2018 | Ipsos[198] | 57% | 30% | 55% | 38% | 38% | 54% | ||||
16 July 2018 | Newspoll[199] | 48% | 29% | 39% | 50% | 33% | 55% | ||||
10–13 May 2018 | Newspoll[71] | 46% | 32% | 41% | 49% | 32% | 56% | ||||
3–6 May 2018 | Essential[200] | 40% | 26% | 40% | 42% | 37% | 41% | ||||
4–6 Mar 2018 | Essential[148] | 37% | 35% | - | - | - | - | ||||
26–30 Apr 2017 | Essential[148] | 45% | 31% | 35% | 47% | 33% | 47% | ||||
20–23 Apr 2017 | Newspoll[149] | 42% | 33% | 32% | 57% | 33% | 53% | ||||
30 Mar – 2 April 2017 | Newspoll[153] | 41% | 32% | 30% | 59% | 32% | 54% | ||||
22–25 Mar 2017 | Ipsos[155] | 45% | 33% | - | - | - | - | ||||
17–20 Mar 2017 | Essential[157] | 43% | 29% | - | - | - | - | ||||
16–19 Mar 2017 | Newspoll[158] | 43% | 29% | 30% | 57% | 29% | 57% | ||||
10–13 Mar 2017 | Essential[159] | 38% | 26% | 33% | 50% | 30% | 49% | ||||
23–26 Feb 2017 | Newspoll[201] | 40% | 33% | 29% | 59% | 30% | 56% | ||||
2–5 Feb 2017 | Newspoll[164] | 42% | 30% | 35% | 54% | 32% | 54% | ||||
1–4 Dec 2016 | Newspoll[169] | 41% | 32% | 32% | 55% | 34% | 51% | ||||
24–26 Nov 2016 | Ipsos[171] | 51% | 30% | 45% | 45% | 37% | 53% | ||||
17–20 Nov 2016 | Newspoll[172] | 43% | 33% | 34% | 54% | 36% | 51% | ||||
3–6 Nov 2016 | Newspoll[174] | 42% | 32% | 30% | 58% | 36% | 51% | ||||
20–23 Oct 2016 | Newspoll[175] | 42% | 32% | 29% | 57% | 36% | 51% | ||||
6–9 Oct 2016 | Newspoll[178] | 45% | 30% | 31% | 56% | 35% | 51% | ||||
9–12 Sep 2016 | Essential[180] | 41% | 26% | 35% | 43% | 36% | 41% | ||||
8–11 Sep 2016 | Newspoll[181] | 43% | 31% | 34% | 53% | 35% | 52% | ||||
25–28 Aug 2016 | Newspoll[183] | 43% | 32% | 34% | 52% | 36% | 50% | ||||
5–8 Aug 2016 | Essential[186] | 40% | 30% | 38% | 43% | 37% | 41% | ||||
6–10 Jul 2016 | Essential[190] | 39% | 31% | 37% | 48% | 39% | 41% | ||||
2 July 2016 election | |||||||||||
28 Jun – 1 July 2016 | Newspoll[192] | 48% | 31% | 40% | 47% | 36% | 51% | ||||
30 June 2016 | ReachTEL[193] | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | - | - | - | ||||
26–29 Jun 2016 | Ipsos[196] | 49% | 35% | 49% | 41% | 42% | 50% | ||||
23–26 Jun 2016 | Essential[202] | 40% | 29% | 40% | 40% | 37% | 39% | ||||
^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader. |
See also
- 2019 Australian federal election
- Electorate opinion polling for the 2019 Australian federal election
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